Ukraine’s stunning counteroffensive in its northeast likely marks a turning point in the war and has profound consequences for Russia’s position going forward, according to military analysts.
. “Kyiv will likely increasingly dictate the location and nature of the major fighting, and Russia will find itself increasingly responding inadequately to growing Ukrainian physical and psychological pressure in successive military campaigns unless Moscow finds some way to regain the initiative.”
MORE: Exclusive: Zelenskyy hints to David Muir of 'plural' Ukrainian counteroffensives against Russian forces Russia has been unable to replenish its forces because Putin has balked at ordering a full mobilization or putting the country on a war footing, fearing that could lead to domestic unrest that could threaten his rule, officials said. As a result, Russian forces are increasingly numerically inferior to Ukrainian in some areas.
Russia is reeling from the rout in the northeast, its troops’ moral will be badly shaken. The risk for Moscow now is that the failure in the northeast could snowball elsewhere, triggering a domino effect as its forces panic and loses the will to fight, Konrad Muzyka, director of Rochan Consulting, told ABC News.
"As a consequence of the north eastern rout of their forces, the Russians now have very few good choices. Their positions in the east are compromised and require a substantial realignment of defensive lines and logistics," Mick Ryan, a retired Australian major general and fellow at Center for Strategic and International Studies, wrote on Twitter:
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