Getting weapons, munitions, and logistics to their forward positions is becoming increasingly difficult, writes Jon Sweet. The question: How long can the Ukrainian military continue at this pace? September is just four short months away.
from Congress for additional security, military, and humanitarian assistance for Ukraine was welcome news. It marked a U.S. policy shift from deterrence to seeing"Russia weakened." British Prime Minister Boris Johnson has similarly announced an additional $375 million in military aid to Ukraine. This investment in Ukraine’s security is essential to its morale and survival, but is it enough?9,"Victory Day" in Russia. This date commemorates the Nazi defeat in 1945.
Putin believes he has found his Grant in Gen. Aleksandr Dvornikov. Russian losses are irrelevant, despite what he has told his countrymen and Russian mothers. According to areport, in a throwback to Stalinist-era practices, Russian forces in Ukraine may have begun using"barrier troops" — a term originating in World War II for so-called anti-retreat forces.
Dvornikov’s strategy is to attack the Ukrainian military along an extended front, from Sumy to Kherson, stretching out its defenses. The main effort remains in the Donbas region and on securing the absolute surrender of Ukrainian holdouts in Mariupol. The same tactics apply in each case, though: artillery bombardments and airstrikes followed by frontal assaults. The same results, too: slow progress against an entrenched enemy, with high casualty rates.
Ukraine is unlikely to be able to maintain its current operational tempo. The Russians have mass and numbers and can afford to take more casualties. Ukrainian forces are fighting daily, either repelling armor advances or sheltering from artillery barrages and airstrikes. On Day 70 of the invasion, they are mentally and physically exhausted. Getting weapons, munitions, and logistics to their forward positions is becoming increasingly difficult.
The question: How long can the Ukrainian military continue at this pace? September is just four short months away.
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