US Dollar Index: DXY grinds near mid-103.00s as markets await US inflation, Fed

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US Dollar Index: DXY grinds near mid-103.00s as markets await US inflation, Fed
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US Dollar Index: DXY grinds near mid-103.00s as markets await US inflation, Fed – by anilpanchal7 DollarIndex Fed Inflation RiskAppetite SwingTrading

utive weeks. It’s worth noting that a light calendar and reassessment of the Fed bets also put a floor under the greenback’s gauge versus six major currencies even if bears remain hopeful of late.

Although the recent US statistics have been favoring a halt in the Federal Reserve’s rate hike trajectory, as seen from the market’s bets on the Fed’s rate hike in June, the inflation woes remain on the table to keep the Fed hawk hopeful. As a result, Tuesday’s US Consumer for May, expected to ease to 4.2% YoY from 4.9% prior, becomes crucial and allows the DXY traders to lick their wounds ahead of the outcome.

With this in mind, Analysts at ANZ said, “US May CPI data will be published just ahead of the FOMC decision and that is adding some uncertainty to the immediate call – a strong core print could force the FOMC’s hand. The median market estimate expects that core inflation rose 0.4% m/m with the headline rate rising 0.2% owing to weaker energy costs.”

It should be noted that the downbeat prints of the US activity numbers for May joined disappointing employment clues to weigh on the US Dollar.

Moving on, a thin macro line may challenge momentum traders but concerns about the US inflation and Fed can direct the DXY.A sustained downside break of the 21-DMA, around 103.65 by the press time, directs US Dollar Index to the 100-DMA support of around 103.05.

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