Donald Trump had the most to lose from independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy jnr, and now he has the most to gain, an analysis of the past 10 major polls indicates.
| Robert F. Kennedy jnr’s decision to drop out of the presidential race and endorse Donald Trump, with a clear chance to peg back Democratic nominee Kamala Harris’ honeymoon lead, is certain to gain a boost with a significant majority of the political scion’s voting share.
The latest Ipsos poll shows Ms Harris leading Trump 42 per cent to 37 per cent, with Mr Kennedy grabbing 4 per cent. If the survey question forced Mr Kennedy voters to choose between Ms Harris and Trump, the former leads by 49 per cent to 47 per cent, indicating that the latter had the most to gain. The same outcome is consistent with Fox News polling, where the three-way contest shows Ms Harris and Trump at 45 per cent each, but with the Democratic candidate up 4 points and Trump 5 points when Mr Kennedy is removed.Even Data for Progress, the left-wing think tank, released polling among independent voters that showed the absence of Mr Kennedy would benefit Trump.
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