Warning of 'explosive resurgence' of COVID-19 if social controls relaxed

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Warning of 'explosive resurgence' of COVID-19 if social controls relaxed
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Australians are at risk from a new surge of coronavirus deaths if controls imposed to fight the pandemic are relaxed, top scientific advisers have warned.

The advice is founded on two scientific papers published on Tuesday after Prime Minister Scott Morrison released official modelling showing hospitals will have enough intensive care beds if the pandemic is contained to its current growth rate.

Mr Morrison outlined the long-awaited modelling with an emphasis on the need for a six-month timeframe for the health and economic measures, compared to the three-month plans in place in other countries. In a teleconference to outline their findings, Professor McVernon and Professor McCaw said more work would be done over the next two weeks to calculate the impact of measures taken so far to keep infections down.

"There's fewer importations from returning travellers or returning Australians and it looks like community transmission is continuing to be well-suppressed. The warning highlights the tension within and between governments over the timetable to ease the restrictions on economic activity, as Parliament meets on Wednesday to vote on theThe new scientific papers were published by the Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity on Tuesday and supported the government modelling, but the document released by the government did not contain forecasts based on Australian data.

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