.ScottMorrisonMP will provide a COVID-19 update soon. Watch live on the 7NEWS website. auspol 7NEWS
Assumptions factored into the 200,000 figure included Australia’s booster shot program not being sped up or expanded and the Omicron variant proving as severe as the Delta strain.
Other factors included states and territories not tightening public health measures, people not changing their own behaviours in the face of rising case tallies and the absence of hospital surge capacity. “None of these five assumptions represent the likely state of events, let alone all of them together,” Professor Kelly said.Australia’s leaders discussed a mask mandate, booster shots and modelling showing 200,000 cases a day.He pointed out worst-case scenario modelling in 2020 around the number of intensive care beds required was never realised.
“While modelling is an important tool to help guide decision-making, it is just one of a range of tools and cannot be viewed in isolation,” Professor Kelly said.“ extreme case scenario that assumes that nobody does anything, nobody gets boosters, there are no changes that take place, no one exercises commonsense,” he told the Seven Network.
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