OPINION: The US and its allies have a tricky diplomatic job of deterring a determined China without raising the temperature even higher.
Regional states are looking to both the United States and China for reassurance that the region would not be plunged into war between nuclear powers. Most of the concern is directed at China as it escalates its military, economic and diplomatic pressure on Taiwan.
The unjustified invasion of Ukraine is a powerful reminder that waiting until the first shot is fired is far too late. This was welcomed by a region in need of reassurance that all parties would do whatever they could to avoid a catastrophic war. There was also a hint of marketing in the message – if the unthinkable happens, the subtext reads, it won’t be Washington’s fault.unsafe behaviour by Chinese pilots
This puts the US, Australia and other partners in a tough spot. They must match China’s escalation to present a credible deterrent. But these responses need to be carefully calibrated to avoid the temperature rising further.Some of these measures are falling in place. The US and Taiwan have just announced a new trade initiative, and high-level Americans are visiting Taipei on a weekly basis.
There are few parallels between Ukraine and Taiwan. But the unjustified invasion of Ukraine is a powerful reminder that waiting until the first shot is fired is far too late.delivering a video address to the Shangri-La Dialogue, was clear about the lessons to be learned.
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