Roe v. Wade seems doomed, but the Supreme Court has surprised us on abortion before. ed_kilgore writes that if the conservative majority falters, the fallout could be tremendous
Justice Amy Coney Barrett’s fans expect her to deliver a death blow to Roe. Photo: Brendan Smialowski/AFP via Getty Images All signs point to the reversal of Roe v. Wade by the U.S. Supreme Court when the decision in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization comes down, likely at the end of the current Supreme Court term.
To be clear, it’s unlikely that this “betrayal” of the anti-abortion cause will happen again. For one thing, with the possible and occasional exception of Roberts, there aren’t any “centrists” left among the six current justices appointed by Republican presidents.
For exactly the same reasons, anti-abortion advocates and their Republican allies might be deeply disappointed and even angry if Roe survives again, even in an attenuated form. The justices’ majority and concurring opinions would be examined carefully to identify culprits and backsliders. If Roberts were one of the temporizers, his past betrayals of conservatism would be hashed over again with bad intent.
Lately, some right-wing Republicans have, like Josh Hawley, been making it known that they don’t see much use for the originalists on the Court if they don’t deliver Roe a fatal blow.
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