Ron DeSantis and Vivek Ramaswamy were declared the winners by most voters, but their showings were less impressive in context. And Nikki Haley’s performance probably mattered most.
in the FiveThirtyEight national polling average, Ramaswamy about one-quarter. This means that DeSantis draws a larger percentage of the non-Trump vote in the national polling average than he did among debate watchers who deemed him the victor. Ramaswamy’s numbers are about the same for both metrics.
Ramaswamy and Haley impressed more voters for whom they hadn’t been on the radar. Ramaswamy was deemed the winner by 28 percent of those not previously considering him, while Haley took 37 percent among those who hadn’t considered her before Wednesday night.
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