The White Sox would need an incredible finish to reach the postseason, between their own performance and getting help from the teams they’re chasing: the Guardians and Mariners.
Things weren't looking good at least early Wednesday; the Sox fell behind 2-0 in the first inning.
The White Sox’ odds to win the division stood at 3.2 percent Wednesday. Their chances to claim a wild card spot were actually worse, per FanGraphs: 3 percent. The math says the White Sox not only need some help, but to pull off one of the most incredible finishes in recent memory to reach October.For the White Sox to pull off this difficult scenario, they would have to finish one win better than the Guardians due to the tiebreaker.
Let’s say Seattle, through 148 games, has an 82-66 record — one game better than the Guardians through 148 games. Because of the tiebreaker, the Sox would advance to the playoffs over Seattle in the event of a tie. A few scenarios:Record over final 14 games, both finish with 87 winsRecord over final 14 games, both finish with 89 winsIn either scenario, the White Sox would need a tremendous finish to pass the Guardians or Mariners.
As much as taking things one day at a time is all they can do, the White Sox are running out of days, and fast.
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