Who should win at the GRAMMYs? And who actually will win? justinmcurto breaks it down, category by category
Photo-Illustration: Vulture; Photos by Getty Images and Shutterstock By genre: More than four months after the Recording Academy announced a pretty chaotic slate of nominations, we’ve finally made it: The Grammys are taking place this Sunday, April 3, at Las Vegas’s MGM Grand Garden Arena — delayed and relocated, for the second year running, due to a COVID-19 wave.
Let’s start with a rule: In any category where “drivers license” is nominated, assume it’s the favorite. The argument for Record of the Year: It’s an artfully crafted song and a hit, a balance the Academy often tries to strike in this category. But if last year’s Big Four wins — and this year’s expanded nominee slate — have shown us anything, it’s that the Grammys are as unpredictable as ever.
Then again, Swift herself has missed SOTY a whopping five times, so Rodrigo is far from safe. This category isn’t short of challengers either. Silk Sonic is an obvious threat, given that Bruno Mars swept the generals the last time he was in the mix, for 24K Magic in 2018. Meanwhile, Anderson .Paak continues to earn trophies from both the rap and R&B fields.
If all goes as expected this year, Doja Cat could be on her way to Katy Perry status — that is, a hitmaker who’s always a nominee, never a winner. Her first hit, “Say So,” a key song in 2020’s disco revival, carried her to three nods but no wins last year; now she’s up for eight categories largely off her third album, Planet Her, a fantastic, omnivorous level-up that solidified her pop-star status.
None of these five outcomes would make me happy. That said, it feels especially wrong for Foo Fighters to win this for their dance-rock album after decrying electronic music just a few years before.
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