Why a 2020s rerun of the Roaring Twenties remains wishful thinking | Larry Elliott

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Why a 2020s rerun of the Roaring Twenties remains wishful thinking | Larry Elliott
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The 1920s also began dismally. But for a fourth industrial revolution to happen, much more has to be done

Photograph: Hulton Archive/Getty ImagesPhotograph: Hulton Archive/Getty ImagesOptimism abounded as 2019 drew to a close. If the 2010s had been a lost decade of weak growth and stagnating living standards then the years to come were going to be much better.

In China, where Covid-19 had its origins, the authorities have used draconian lockdowns in an attempt to eliminate the virus. As a result, the economy has pretty muchNews from the other two big engines of the global economy is no better. The annualin the US is at a 40-year-high of 9.1%, prompting concern on Wall Street that the country’s central bank will adopt a more aggressive approach to interest rates.

So, from the perspective of mid-2022 the idea of a new Roaring Twenties seems somewhat far-fetched, with the boosterism of 2019 exposed for what it was: wishful thinking. The idea was that things could only get better, when in fact they have got a lot worse. This seems to be the era of permanent, rolling crises – with the pandemic followed by inflation and war. Next up, unless our luck changes, is recession.

For some time, there has been talk of a fourth industrial revolution based on breakthroughs in genomics, artificial intelligence, robotics, 3D printing, and green energy but the wait goes on for the boost these developments are supposed to give to a struggling global economy.

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