Why gas is Australia’s best weapon against Putin

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Why gas is Australia’s best weapon against Putin
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The essential calculation is that NATO and its allies must not go into direct combat with Russian forces and risk turning this into a nuclear confrontation. It is on the economy, then, that Australia can bring some pressure to bear. | OPINION CroweDM

The war in Ukraine has descended so quickly into crimes so great that the moral case for a powerful response grows stronger by the day. The latest atrocity, thein Mariupol, only adds to the urgency about what else can be done to stop the Russian invasion.

It is on the economy, then, that Australia can bring some pressure to bear. Any pressure is worth considering when Australia is a huge energy supplier with the capacity, in theory, to reduce some of Putin’s leverage. This has been on federal cabinet’s agenda for good reason. The latest step, a US embargo of Russian oil, gas and coal, shows the willingness to go further but also, crucially, the limits of what is possible. US President Joe Biden can act in the confidence that the US is an oil exporter in net terms.Europe is exposed. It relies on Russia for at least 4.5 million barrels of oil each day, or about a third of its imports, and will not join the immediate US embargo.

High gas prices would bring a reward, although this would be offset by the global economic shock from rising oil prices. Ultimately, however, the decision turns on a moral question. What is the best way for Australia to weaken Putin? The answer will sit uneasily with many people who believe in the need to reduce carbon emissions and therefore phase out gas.

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