Why Indian farmers worry despite 'average' monsoon rains

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Why Indian farmers worry despite 'average' monsoon rains
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India has received average monsoon rains since the start of the season on June 1, despite concerns that an El Nino weather pattern could lead to lower rainfall this year.

While average monsoon rains are ordinarily good for Indian farmers, uneven distribution this year has created new worries.Only a third of the country has received average rainfall so far this season, according to India Meteorological Department data. Meanwhile, about 34% of India has received deficient rains and 32% excessive rainfall, the data shows.

On the other hand, scant rainfall has delayed the planting of rice, corn, cotton, soybeans, groundnuts and pulses in states including Maharashtra, Telangana, Andhra Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Bihar and West Bengal. In other major rice-growing states, including West Bengal, Bihar, Chhattisgarh, Andhra Pradesh and Telangana, farmers have prepared paddy nurseries but have been unable to transplant the seedlings due to inadequate rainfall.

Weather agencies have forecast that El Nino could curtail rainfall in August and September - when crops reach the maturity phase and need sufficient moisture. Lower rainfall during this period could also lead to reduced production.Delays in planting summer crops lead to delays in harvesting, ultimately resulting in the late sowing of winter crops such as wheat, rapeseed and chickpeas.

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