The fight could go on, with no signs of impending victory on either side, for many more months.
, in early June? Well, some of these reports qualify, Ukraine is now mounting “the main thrust” of the offensive.A more accurate way of describing the latest phase of this war—now in its 18their counteroffensive after their first attempt went rather badly. To put it simply, the Russian defense turned out to be more effective—and the Ukrainian offense less effective—than many had expected.This is the conclusion of several Western military analysts reporting from the front lines.
Meanwhile, the Ukrainians sent in their newest recruits, some of them armed with NATO-supplied weapons, including the most modern U.S. and German tanks. The problem—as recounted by Michael Kofman of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and Rob Lee of the Foreign Policy Research Institute—was that these troops had little combat experience and no experience fighting as a unit.
Kofman said it might have been better to put the more experienced troops at the forward edge of the assault, letting the newer troops provide reinforcement where needed, at least until they develop more cohesion as a unit and get a better grip on the nature of the fight..
Some analysts have complained about the West’s reluctance to supply Ukraine with jet fighters such as F-16s, butand a few other analysts with whom I’ve spoken don’t think more planes will provide much of an edge. The planes would be vulnerable to Russian air defenses .
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