A key difference between Sydney and Melbourne’s virus outbreaks could see NSW avoiding a total lockdown. COVID19
“Fourteen days is what epidemiologists use to look for zero cases when we are going for elimination, and it gives you a good idea of how in control you are,” she said.earlier this month, Prof McLaws used Victoria as an example, saying the state was a “slowly boiling frog”.
“Using this method, the two weeks up to June 18 suggested the spread was becoming out of control. From June 5 to June 18 the total number of cases was 102. Then the subsequent 14-day periods doubled to 224 cases and doubled again to 441 cases. Prof McLaws noted just a few cases could “tip that alert number into outbreaks that will be very hard to control”.
“The epidemiology shows it’s much easier to control small numbers, so we should act now rather than later,” she told news.com.au. “It’s very hard to go for a proactive approach because they don’t see the benefit, but now that are seeing what’s happening in Melbourne, they may be more prompted to act.
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