The more success Ukraine has on the battlefield, the more likely Putin is to respond with escalation, writes DanDePetris. No U.S. policymaker, academic, or analyst has come up with a convincing way to thread this finest of needles.
This most loaded of questions is circling over Washington like a storm cloud. Putin doesn't appear to be making idle threats. Last month, the Russian strongman again implied that if Russia’s military position in Ukraine were degraded any further, the use of a tactical nuclear weapon would be a live option.
That’s precisely what the Biden administration is doing. While nuclear escalation is still a low-probability event, it’s not zero, which means the United States has a responsibility to plan for this hypothetical.
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