Forget the pre-season projections. Did your team have the most challenging fixture, or enjoyed an easier ride? We have crunched the numbers for you.
A pre-season projection that reigning premiers Geelong had the toughest 2023 home-and-away fixture has been borne out, but Melbourne have emerged as the surprise beneficiary of the vagaries a season brings., we have analysed the full fixture using a simple formula of accumulative wins and draws to rate the depth of competition each team has faced through 22 rounds, and how this translates through the full 24 rounds.
Using this method, the Cats have played through 22 rounds, and are preparing to play over the next fortnight, teams – so far – with a combined 251 wins and three draws. That they had what was judged to be the toughest fixture heading into the season has been reaffirmed, with pre-season projections based on adding the 2022 ladder positions of the teams a club plays twice.
While the Demons have met Carlton twice, their double-ups have included North Melbourne, Hawthorn and Richmond.The pitfalls of a season are varied, for these include injuries and the form of an opponent. In this season’s case, double-ups against North Melbourne and West Coast, with a combined four wins, have been particularly beneficial.
“We don’t think we don’t stack up,” Saints coach Ross Lyon said. “We think we have been a bit inconsistent in games ... we haven’t been out of the eight all year. But, in saying that, we were brave when the season was up for grabs. It gives you leeway when the sea has been a bit rough.″
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