Even as Republicans worry about Trump's mercurial presidency and its impact down ballot in 2020, Democrats remain in a high state of anxiety about their own party’s prospects. The result is a rare chapter in American politics when members of both political parties seem wracked with insecurity about…
Instead, some Democrats are wringing their hands about their presidential candidate field, encouraging. Former President Obama has warned Democrats that they risk losing it all in 2020 if they tack too far to the left, while progressives fear Trump will win if Democrats nominate a “safe” but uninspiring centrist.
The anxiety on both sides is a departure from the political norm. Usually one party or the other has a clear upper hand — especially when an incumbent is running for reelection. Trump is one of the most vulnerable incumbents to seek reelection since the Great Depression in the 1930s: His approval rating has remained stuck below 50% for the entirety of his presidency.
Democrats have not experienced the political backlash some feared from launching their impeachment inquiry. Neither have the hearings produced narrative-changing revelations that Republicans feared could force them to abandon the president. Simon Rosenberg, president of NDN, a centrist Democratic group, said he understood why Democrats are nervous about 2020 because the stakes are so high and there is so much uncertainty about who will be the party’s nominee. But he offers a reassuring message to the party’s worry warts: The fundamentals are working heavily in their favor.
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