The website famed for its stats-driven predictions of presidential races still believes Houston will pull out a win, despite picking the 'Stros in 2019 and 2021.
FiveThirtyEight, an ABC-owned website that uses stats to drive stories, predicts the Astros again as World Series champs over the Phillies.Baseball is in a league of its own when it comes to numbers, and those statistics can come in handy if you're looking to predict the outcome of the 2022 World Series between the Astros and the Phillies.
"I think it's the most stat-driven of all the sports, because they have kept the most stats for the longest period of time," Neil Paine,While casual fans can use figures like batting average and home runs to make a guess at the outcome of a game, FiveThirtyEight, which is an ABC-owned website that tells stories through data, takes their prognostication to the next level with their annual baseball predictions.
"It really tries to answer the question of 'how good are you playing right now?'" Paine said. "It does use wins and losses. It uses margin of victory. It uses location of the game - who the opposing starting pitcher was, who your starting pitcher was, rest days, travel days."FiveThirtyEight had the Astros winning in their previous two World Series appearances, but they lost to Washington and Atlanta, respectively.
Paine had this to say as it relates to the current 2022 prediction, which will change after each game in the series is completed. "Essentially, two out of every three times you play this series, the Astros win. And one out of every three, the Phillies win," he said. "The Phillies have a very strong chance."Game 2Game 4: at Philadelphia, Wednesday, Nov. 2, 7:03 p.m.* if necessary