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With four rounds to go the NRL season is well and truly at it’s pointy end , with an enthralling race for the top eight heating up.
For their opponents, the Dragons, losing at the weekend saw them slip outside of the eight, though they’re breathing down the neck of the Dolphins.has crunched the numbers to produce every team’s top eight and top four chances as well as the likelihood of winning the minor premiership.Melbourne rebounded from a bitter loss to the Dragons to beat the Rabbitohs in Round 23, though it wasn’t a performance to write home about.
With a bruising forward pack getting them forward, Melbourne’s spine has enough attacking weapons to seriously trouble any side in the competition, including Penrith. That is a scary prospect this close to finals.Four straight wins has catapulted the Panthers right back into the hunt for the minor premiership heading into Round 24.
Should they see off the Storm, Penrith find themselves with a favourable run home made up of clashes with sides currently outside the top eight.Having had a bye in Round 23, the Roosters were able to secure their top eight place, while their chances of a top four finish also rose by some margin. Trindall and Ronaldo Mulitalo are a chance to play this week against the Knights, a game where a win will go a long way to sealing the Sharks’ top four fate come the end of the season.
Stephen Crichton, Reed Mahoney and Matt Burton have been excellent throughout the season, while Toby Sexton is finally hitting his stride as an NRL halfback. In the coming weeks, Max King will return from injury, providing the club with a big boost for their run home.When they’re on, there are few sides as frighteningly brilliant in attack than the Manly Sea Eagles, especially when Tom Trbojevic is on song.
No one doubts their ability to score points, but their inability to prevent tries being scored against them remains a major concern heading into the final month of the season. A trip to Bundaberg to face the Bulldogs this weekend will be tough, as will the rest of their run home against the Storm, Broncos and Knights, but for now their finals dreams remain alive.Despite a disappointing loss to the Bulldogs over the weekend, a result which saw them slip out of the eight, 2024 is not dead and buried for the Dragons.
Their 16-point win over the Tigers helped the Knights drastically in their quest to the finals, and as last season showed - anything is possible when Kalyn Ponga is fit and firing. They head to North Queensland this week to face a Cowboys side with a point to prove, before taking on Penrith and the Roosters in the coming weeks. They don’t tougher.Entering Round 23 the Broncos had a 0.3% chance of qualifying for the finals. After their big win over the Cowboys that figure surged to 1.8% - an increase of 600%.
This loss has significantly hindered the Titans already slim finals hopes, especially considering they finish out the season against two top eight hopefuls in the Dragons and Knights and two competition powerhouses in the Roosters and Panthers They face a tricky run home, which includes three games against sides fighting to qualify for the top four - Manly, Cronulla and the Bulldogs - with the club’s final chance to farewell SJ and AFB coming against Canterbury.Sitting six points outside the top eight it is near impossible for the Bunnies to sneak their way into the finals.
Gruelling Run Home Grand Finallists Nathan Cleary Wests Tigers Kevin Walters Valentine Holmes Tricky Run Home Competition Powerhouses Sports Market Tough Run Home Finals Race Bitter Disappointment Canberra Raiders Tom Trbojevic Victoria Fletcher Sharpe Defensive Issues Home Side Season Departure Spine Showcases Favourable Run Home Slim Finals Hopes Minor Premiership Heading Brisbane Broncos Incoming Coach Stephen Crichton Daly Cherry-Evans Sydney Mitchell Moses New Zealand Warriors North Queensland Cowboys Daniel Atkinson South Sydney Rabbitohs Final Round Toby Sexton Halves Statement Lingering Groin Injury Dominant Win Glenn Lazarus Home Crowd Jason Ryles Absolute Blockbuster Clash Finals Chances Fox League Concern Heading Dream Run Home Cameron Mcinnes St George Illawarra Dragons Cronulla Sharks Win Outside Ivan Cleary Finals Contention Star Cops Monster Ricky Stuart Latrell Mitchell Bundaberg Clint Gutherson Reece Walsh Australia Run Home Premiership Run Queensland Finals Dreams Melbourne Storm Kyle Flanagan Melbourne Wayne Bennett Finals Hopes Todd Payten Andrew Webster Josh Papalii Gold Coast Club Manager Enthralling Race Sydney Roosters Max King New Zealand Minor Premiership Final Chance Dylan Edwards Winnable Games James Fisher-Harris Kieran Foran Penrith Panthers New South Wales Club Leave Manly Sea Eagles Predicted Finish Zealand Warriors Oceania Explosive Halves Switch Remaining Games Finals Chances Increase Premiership Charge Newcastle Knights Kyle Robbins Bleak Season Touching Distance Gold Coast Titans Finals Credentials Heading Winners Circle Australia And New Zealand Pointy End Addin Fonua-Blake Jack Williams Rugby Ace Jason Saab Minor Premiership Race Unthinkable Top Finals Football Season Surge
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