2020 Vision Thursday: Elizabeth Warren joins Biden at the head of the pack

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2020 Vision Thursday: Elizabeth Warren joins Biden at the head of the pack
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2020 Vision: Elizabeth Warren joins Biden at the head of the pack

Welcome to 2020 Vision, the Yahoo News column covering the presidential race with one smart, fast takeaway every weekday and a deeper roundup every weekend. Reminder: There are 130 days until the Iowa caucuses and 404 days until the 2020 election.

In terms of polling, the story of the summer was how Elizabeth Warren started out in late April around seven percent, still reeling from her stumble in handling questions about her claims to Native American ancestry, then slowly but surely gained support until she broke away from the pack and joined Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders in the top tier. Look back at a graph of the national numbers over that period; Warren is the only major candidate whose line goes up, overall, rather than down.

On average, Biden still leads nationally by more than 7 percentage points. But that is his smallest advantage to date, and it could shrink further if additional surveys confirm Warren’s momentum. As for Sanders, Warren’s average lead over the Vermont senator — 4.1 percentage points — is the largest it’s ever been.

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