An unemployment rate of 2.9 per cent? Some economists think it's possible. But then what happens?

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An unemployment rate of 2.9 per cent? Some economists think it's possible. But then what happens?
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ANALYSIS: An unemployment rate of 2.9 per cent? Some economists think it's possible. But then what happens?

And last week, economists from ANZ said the unemployment rate could fall further from here — to 2.9 per cent — before the RBA's rate hikes really begin to bite next year.They said "underemployment" could keep trending down this year, and the participation rate could hit another record high early next year.

And, they said, even though international borders have reopened, the pace of the increase in the extra supply of workers in Australia is likely to remain relatively slow for a while. It will be fascinating to see, in a couple of months, what happens to that job vacancies graph above.However, the RBA seems determined to lift interest rates quickly over the next few months to return rates to more normal levels and to try to squeeze some inflation out of the system.Economists say the RBA will likely lift rates by another 0.5 percentage points this Tuesday, which would bring the target to 1.85 per cent.

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