Two major weather systems, La Nina and the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO), are converging over Australia, increasing the likelihood of heavy rainfall and tropical cyclones. The delayed monsoon in Darwin adds to the concern, with February potentially becoming the wettest month on record.
Australia 's tropical regions are bracing for a potentially record-breaking wet month of February, as two major weather systems converge. Sky News reports that the convergence of La Nina and a massive thunderstorm system, known as the Madden-Julian Oscillation ( MJO ), is predicted to increase rainfall and the likelihood of tropical cyclones . For Darwin, the wet season traditionally begins with the arrival of the monsoon rains, marked by a shift in wind patterns.
However, this year, the monsoon has been delayed, with no signs of its arrival until at least the start of February, potentially breaking the record for the latest arrival. Despite the delayed monsoon, Darwin has already received almost its average rainfall for this time of year due to a higher frequency and intensity of thunderstorms.Adding to the forecast for increased rainfall, Tropical Cyclone Sean recently made landfall in Karratha, causing record-breaking floods. This marks the longest period since 2017 without a landfalling tropical cyclone in Australia. As February approaches, the MJO is expected to track eastward towards Australian longitudes, amplifying the influence of La Nina and increasing the risk of flooding. Forecast models indicate that much of Australia is likely to experience near or above-average rainfall next month, making it crucial for residents to prepare for potential tropical cyclones or flood events
Australia Weather La Nina Tropical Cyclones Rainfall Monsoon Flooding MJO Madden-Julian Oscillation
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