Victoria's public transport will lose 114 million yearly trips post-pandemic, and city roads face worsening congestion as infection-wary commuters desert the network in favour of their cars.
Metro Trains and Yarra Trams are facing unprecedented hits to revenue as other workers take advantage of a new era of work-from-home arrangements.And even after the pandemic subsides, public transport use overall will recover to just 80 per cent of capacity, or 456 million yearly trips instead of 570 million, according to Monash University research that is the most comprehensive study on travel impacts of the coronavirus done to date.
However, the CBD is headed for worsening gridlock, as 9 per cent of the state’s public transport commutes switch to car trips, the survey of more than 2000 people found. Public transport trips are expected to fall from 36 per cent to 30 per cent of all work-related trips, with the study commissioned by the Department of Transport warning these trends could take up to seven years to reverse.
To keep services running, the Andrews government gave Metro and Yarra emergency funding relief in June, which is understood to amount to roughly two-thirds of revenue losses on their operations and maintenance contract, which excludes losses on advertising or delays on infrastructure projects.
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