Bellwether voters: how seven states will decide the next US president

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Bellwether voters: how seven states will decide the next US president
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Donald Trump is trailing Joe Biden in the polls by an average seven percentage points but America's unique electoral college system is keeping the Republicans in the game | KnottMatthew

When Ronald Reagan achieved a landslide re-election victory in 1984, just one American state voted for Democratic Party candidate Walter Mondale: Minnesota.

After losing Minnesota to Hillary Clinton by just 1.5 per cent - a slender margin that few saw coming - Trump has consistently lamented that he would have won the state if only had he given just "one more speech" there before election day. Biden - who has been largely confined to his home in Delaware because of coronavirus concerns - travelled to Pennsylvania and Wisconsin this week and will visit Michigan next week. Trump visited Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and North Carolina.Democratic presidential candidate former Vice President Joe Biden travelled to the key states of Pennsylvania and Wisconsin this week.

Until recently, neither side of politics particularly benefited from this system. It was extremely rare for the popular vote result to diverge from the Electoral College outcome. Now the system delivers a clear structural advantage to Republicans - one that is keeping Trump in the game despiteThe Democratic Party's coalition of racially-diverse city-dwellers is increasingly concentrated in safe states such as California and New York, meaning millions of their votes are effectively wasted.

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