Tampa Bay has struggled lately, with just two wins in its last 10 games, while Toronto has enjoyed eight wins in the same span. Despite the Jays sending Kikuchi to the mound today, CappingByChris' picks highlight an edge the Jays have over the Rays.
Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.On the surface, this looks like another fade spot for Kikuchi. He's had a dreadful season and only started to look serviceable in his last start against the Tigers. However, the odds flipping back and forth perfectly illustrate today's matchup dilemma, and it has us siding with the Blue Jays.
Currently, this Toronto lineup will have seven batters that are batting over .300 against the four-seam fastball. Batting average isn't everything, but it's tough to ignore when it's something as overwhelming as that. In a vacuum, Beeks will continue to throw the fastball, and Toronto will have tons of success against it, or he'll go to a different pitch.
Backing Kikuchi on the mound doesn't instill the most confidence. He's been mostly an auto-fade for me this season, but maybe, just maybe, he's turning the corner. In two of his last three starts, he's surrendered just one earned run, which is easily the best stretch for him.
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