Many conservative MPs are terrified Farage’s Reform Party will put the final nail in their coffin, not by winning their seat but by taking enough votes to hand power to Labour.
Nigel Farage’s populist Reform party has overtaken the ruling UK Conservatives in the opinion polls for the first time, in a further, suggests that public support for Reform is now at 19 per cent, up two points and a point above the Tories on 18 per cent with the election less than three weeks away.Labour was in the lead on 37, while the Liberal Democrats were down one point at 14 per cent, according to the survey of more than 2200 adults taken on Wednesday and Thursday.
The polling result is a record high for Farage’s party and the first time it has been placed ahead of the Tories, a so-called crossover moment. Facing mass The Conservatives’ latest advertising campaign appears to target potential Reform voters, warning them that the Tories could be reduced to just 57 seats in the next parliament, even if Reform picked up no seats. To have an overall majority, a political party must win at least 326 of the 650 seats in parliament.
Britain’s first-past-the-post electoral system – in which the candidate with the highest number of votes in each area wins – makes it unlikely that Reform could win many seats. But overtaking the Tories in a poll will be seen as a symbolic moment for Sunak’s party.
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