Deutsche Bank says cash rate will hit 4.1pc

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Deutsche Bank says cash rate will hit 4.1pc
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Deutsche Bank’s Philip O’Donaghoe said with inflation stronger than expected, the Reserve Bank needed to go harder, predicting a peak cash rate of 4.1 per cent.

Deutsche Bank economists expect the Reserve Bank of Australia’s official cash rate to hit 4.1 per cent by August as it tries to curb inflation, which will make things difficult as Treasurer Jim Chalmers prepares his May budget.

With interest rates smashing mortgage holders, Dr Chalmers will come under pressure to add more cost-of-living relief to the budget on May 9 But with inflation still expected to be above 6 per cent, albeit on a downward trajectory, Dr Chalmers will be limited in what he can do beyond promised energy bill relief without working against the RBA’s tightening efforts.P on Monday affirmed its AAA credit rating for Australia.

But that won’t stop calls for the Albanese government to do more to fix an underlying structure deficit caused by defence spending, blow outs in the National Disability Insurance Scheme, and high borrowing costs.In its pre-budget submission published on Monday, the nation’s largest employer group, the Australian Chamber of Commerce and Industry, called for Dr Chalmers to reveal a clear plan for structural budget repair in May.

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