Israel and Hezbollah have good reason to avoid war – but it remains possible

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Israel and Hezbollah have good reason to avoid war – but it remains possible
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Neither side seems prepared for realities of land warfare, but a small mistake may have deadly consequences

Smoke billows from the site of an Israeli airstrike on Zibqin in southern Lebanon on Sunday, amid escalating cross-border tensions.Smoke billows from the site of an Israeli airstrike on Zibqin in southern Lebanon on Sunday, amid escalating cross-border tensions.wanted an all-out war it would have happened a long time ago. Each side would welcome the destruction of the other, but the time is clearly not right for either of them to plunge into a full-scale conflict.

Both sides have compelling reasons not to go to war now. Israel does not have the stamina for another front while it has not yet managed to eliminate Hamas completely in Gaza and with the West Bank beingIDF commanders are also aware that a war with Hezbollah could not be won without a ground invasion, which would cost the lives of many Israeli soldiers. Despite recent upgrades, Israeli tanks are still considered highly vulnerable to ambush.

The IDF was reportedly on the brink of going to war in Lebanon immediately after 7 October, on the strength of faulty intelligence suggesting that Hezbollah was involved in the attack and its fighters were about to pour over the northern border.

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