Middle East conflict risks sharp rise in oil prices, says IMF

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Middle East conflict risks sharp rise in oil prices, says IMF
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In the UK, anxiety over the crisis after Iran’s missile strike on Israel drives down UK shares

Abadan oil refinery in south-west Iran. Previous wars in the Middle East have led to a sharp increase in oil prices.Abadan oil refinery in south-west Iran. Previous wars in the Middle East have led to a sharp increase in oil prices.risks leading to higher oil prices, a reversal of the recent fall in inflation and a puncturing of the optimistic mood in financial markets, the International Monetary Fund has warned.

Gourinchas said: “The increased inflation that would come from higher energy prices would trigger a response from central banks that would tighten interest rates in order to secure inflation coming back to target, and that would weigh down on activity. Tobias Adrian, the IMF’s financial counsellor, said at the release of the GFSR: “We are very concerned about developments in the Middle East.”Adrian said there had been a fall in share prices even before Iran launched its missile strikes on Israel, and while oil prices are stable there is a risk that they could rise.

“A sense of optimism has pervaded financial markets in recent months, amid investor confidence that the fight against inflation is entering its ‘last mile’ and that central banks will ease monetary policy in the coming months.However, he said there were “likely to be bumps along this last mile” and that geopolitical tensions could “weigh” on investor sentiment.

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