Queensland losing position as federal Labor’s political kingmaker
The path to government, so conventional wisdom went, was through the Sunshine State.
“Unless I had the support of Queenslanders, we could not win the election, it was as simple as that,” he wrote. A closer look at the data gives insight into Labor’s pessimistic view on its federal chances in Queensland, despite Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk’s strong showing at a state level. In another show of Labor’s problems in Queensland, the Greens find themselves within 10 percentage points of Labor on 18 per cent, a sign that Albanese is leaking votes to the left as heThe nature of the electoral map also means Labor’s strong state showing is always going to be hard to replicate at a federal level. Where Labor voters are spread over several state electorates, they tend to be more bunched at a federal level.
“Don’t be surprised if Labor doesn’t win any [additional] seats in Queensland,” said Dr Williams, a political scientist at Griffith University.Of some concern to Labor is Albanese’s inability to break through north of the Tweed, but there is also recognition that the low-hanging fruit for Labor is elsewhere in the nation.
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