With 14 weeks until the Victorian state election, the opposition has a mountain to climb in order to form government
But it will be a marathon not a sprint to the finish line for the opposition, with political experts and the bookies giving it little chance of forming government in November.Labor won the 2018 election in a landslide – or “Danslide” – securing more than 57% of the two-party-preferred vote and leaving the Coalition with just 27 of the 88 seats in the lower house.
Raue said recent poling shows the election is Labor’s to lose. The bookies agree – Sportsbet has a Labor victory at $1.25, with the Coalition on $3.75. Further out, the Liberals will need to win back Bass and South Barwon from Labor and Mildura from independent Ali Cupper, where the redistribution should help. The Nationals will need to pick up the seat of Morwell following the retirement of independent Russell Northe.
This is where many within the Liberal party have urged Guy to turn his attention, citing swings of up to 14% against Labor at the federal poll.
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