Guardian analysis suggests Harris underperformed compared with 2020 – but in the states that mattered most it was Trump’s gains that won him the White House
Nationwide, the US election was primarily a story of Democratic underperformance rather than huge Republican gains compared to 2020 – but in the swing states that ultimately decided the victor, it was the opposite story, with Trump’s gains far outstripping Harris’s losses.
At least 24 states also saw a larger drop in Democratic votes than any movement in Republican votes compared with 2020 . But Democratic support dropped further than any change in Republican vote in at least 1,034 out of 2,480 counties analysed.
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