By Wednesday, some 17,000 people were evacuated. National volcanologists have predicted that hazardous, eruptive activity could be imminent in weeks or days
ejected tall columns of volcanic ash that reached as far as the country’s capital, forcing its airports to close and exposing residents to harmful particulates.
But compared to these precedents, Mayon recently has shown some peculiar activity that may signal a gentler eruption, says Ma. Antonia Bornas, the chief of the volcanology institute’s monitoring and eruption prediction division: Levels of sulfur dioxide, which is typically, is currently in the hundreds of tons, and volcanoes usually release at least thousands of tons of the gas before an explosive eruption. “We’re not seeing any volcanic activity,” Bornas tells TIME.
Still, that’s no reason to be complacent. “For today, the chances of an explosive eruption are quite low,” she says. “But tomorrow might be a different story.”—steep volcanoes built up by eruptions of volcanic material over the course of thousands of years. Data from the Philippines’ volcanology institute show the earliest recorded eruption of Mayon in 1616. Its eruptions range from
to Plinian—extremely explosive eruptions that can send volcanic debris tens of miles into the Earth’s atmosphere.
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