Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's resignation after more than a decade in power raises questions about his motivations. While political analysts point to his party's declining popularity and imminent electoral defeat, some speculate that the looming Trump administration and its aggressive stance towards Canada played a role.
His departure will bring an end to more than a decade of power for the progressive politician and once-darling of the liberal left. It follows infighting in his own party and a slump in Trudeau ’s popularity to the point where he trails the leading opposition candidate by over 20 percentage points.
But it can’t escape notice that the resignation comes just weeks ahead of a Trump administration – and after a barrage of personal slights and threats of punishing tariffs directed at Canada by the incoming Republican president. An expert on Canadian-United States relations and Dean’s Professor Emeritus at USC Dornsife, will explain why Trudeau chose to bow out now – and what role Trump played in his departure.The first thing to note is that Trudeau’s resignation is no real surprise to anyone following Canadian politics – the only real surprise is the timing. At its heart, this is a personal political decision. The reality is Trudeau’s party was doomed in the next election – which is due to take place before the end of October 2025. Barring any wild changes between now and the vote, the chances of Trudeau’s Liberal Party winning are as dead as a doornail. The opposition Conservative Party, also known as the Tories, are up in the polls by 24 points. The Tory leader, Pierre Poilievre, has done a reasonably good job at moderating his image from that of a hard right-winger – narrowing any chance Trudeau had of capturing enough of the centre he needed. My best guess is that, faced with this imminent defeat, Trudeau believes getting out now will insulate him and make it more likely that he can return to frontline Canadian politics further down the line, after a period of time in the wilderness. While in the US, figuratively dead presidents rarely come back to life – with Grover Cleveland and Trump the only ones to return after a re-election loss – in Canada, there is a bit more of a tradition of political resurrection
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