ANALYSIS: Ukraine has been left to fall by the US and NATO, and Putin's strategy is laid bare
It is this assertion which will be the new testing point in Europe in coming months: it is one thing to stand by and watch a country which is not an ally being invaded; it is another to not support your treaty partners.
There is not a lot of optimism that the sanctions the US, Europe, Australia and many others have imposed will actually work. At a time when there has been so much debate on whether a Chinese takeover of Taiwan would become the testing point of US power, Putin's move on Ukraine appears to have given a highly uncomfortable answer, without Beijing having to do a thing.
"While the current debate is about Taiwan, the analysis must be more honest. Yes there would be a terrible price of action, but the analysis must also extend to the price of inaction. If Taiwan is taken, surely the Senkakus are next. Please don't rely on your imagination. The Chinese government could not be any clearer; not always with their words, but certainly with their actions."
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