The outcome will depend on whether MPs and grassroots Tories are minded to reward or punish those who stuck with Boris Johnson, versus those who deserted him.
“We can’t just have aof 20 candidates here. We need those that are actually serious about being prime minister, and actually have a chance of doing so credibly,” backbencher Steve Brine told the BBC.
Many will read the writing on the wall, and will drop out before they are voted out. Sometimes, as happened with Theresa May in 2016, a candidate gets so much momentum in the first days and weeks of the contest that everybody else gives up. may have another crack at the job. The former investment banker is smart, experienced and well-respected, but has a slightly wooden public persona that hampered his 2016 and 2019 leadership bids. If Sunak gets momentum, Javid may swing behind his close friend.
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