In a case of 'man versus maths', a film critic and a Moneyball mathematician go head-to-head to predict Academy Award winners.
Help keep family & friends informed by sharing this articleAvid fans of Hollywood's "night of nights" will know that picking Oscar winners seems incredibly easy … right up to the point where it's not.
For every easy pick — Leonardo DiCaprio winning for The Revenant, Return Of The King winning everything — there are the results that no-one saw coming, such as Marisa Tomei's best supporting actress win in 1993 and Shakespeare In Love beating Saving Private Ryan. So how do you predict an Academy Award win? Do you go with the heart or the head? Do you use a formula or the feels?In one corner, the film reviewer, namely Luke Goodsell, who has critiqued movies for the ABC, The Monthly, Empire Magazine, and more.
In the other corner, American mathematician Ben Zauzmer, who turned his passion for figures and films into the book Oscarmetrics: The Math Behind the Biggest Night in Hollywood.Everything Everywhere All At Once featuring Stephanie Hsu, Michelle Yeoh and Ke Huy Quan is a strong favourite to take out the best picture Oscar.
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