‘Collapsed’: Aus should be in ‘sheer terror’

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‘Collapsed’: Aus should be in ‘sheer terror’
Chinese GrowthCraig JamesApartment Towers
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A dramatic change in China is having a profound impact on Australia already – and things looks set to get even worse.It used to be that Chinese growth was primarily driven by urbanisation.

Moving tens of millions of people to cities each year and building them services: housing, infrastructure, business districts, and malls.The peak movement of people is long past, and the population is shrinking. So, the number of people moving each year is falling, which is what matters for construction volumes and commodity inputs.The problem is that nobody can afford them.

Now Beijing is deliberately deflating property prices to make them affordable. By doing so, it is also killing investment in more apartments. It knows the dwellings for the remaining 150 million rural denizens are already built and more! This has all slowed Chinese growth a lot, but it is not going bust. It is shifting the economy from the urbanisation pulse of the past 20 years and investing heavily in human resources, technology and higher-value-added manufacturing instead.For instance, China’s EV boom is awesome as it seizes global leadership.

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